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Geopolitics

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?

Resolves Aug 31, 2026 · 33d$544.3K 24h volumewill-the-us-announce-an-iran-ceasefire-by-july-31-20260718000915875

Polymarket

100.0¢

no 0.1¢

Real-Time Level 2 Order Book

Mid

Spread

Depth

WebSocket stream
BID (buy YES)Size

Streaming bids…

ASK (sell YES)Size

Streaming asks…

Sizes are contracts. Buying NO is equivalent to selling YES, so a resting NO bid appears here as an ask at (1 − price).

Implied Probability

Cross-Venue HedgingDelta neutral

Combinations that offset downside or lock a spread, net of estimated taker fees.

Capital