Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
Resolves Jul 29, 2026 · 1h$7.4M 24h volumeKXFEDDECISION-26JUL-H25
Kalshi
28.0¢
no 73.0¢
Polymarket
26.9¢
no 73.2¢
Gap
+1.1pp
Real-Time Level 2 Order Book
Mid
—
Spread
—
Depth
—
Streaming bids…
Streaming asks…
Sizes are contracts. Buying NO is equivalent to selling YES, so a resting NO bid appears here as an ask at (1 − price).
Implied Probability
Cross-Venue HedgingDelta neutral
Combinations that offset downside or lock a spread, net of estimated taker fees.
Fast Order Router
Simulated fill · best venue
- Avg fill price
- 26.90¢
- Contracts
- 372
- Est. fees
- $5.00
- Payout if correct
- $371.75
- Return
- 254.0%
Simulation only. Preduck does not custody funds or place orders — links open the venue's own interface.
Similar Bets
Related claims across all three venues.
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
1.0¢Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
1.0¢Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2027 meeting?
5.0¢Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their July 2027 meeting?
21.0¢Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
0.3¢Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting — 25 bps increase
1.2¢Trading at 27¢
Unrelated claims the market prices identically.
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 29?
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?